Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 266.071484 301.145219 340.388183 387.792040 443.823378 508.338334 588.813914
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 213.420219 258.705677 314.046453 387.599522 484.242549 608.982682 785.682342
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 179.566766 227.200379 288.763019 375.877318 498.862098 670.917443 938.605301
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 156.454952 204.536499 269.421294 365.892293 510.237353 726.185229 1090.466634
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 145.272799 195.729621 266.613912 377.071449 551.932766 831.600090 1344.297282
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 133.911621 184.958848 259.109791 379.337716 579.155656 918.164307 1588.632923
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 122.337269 172.439733 247.250346 372.642011 589.846879 977.733628 1798.668495
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 114.360815 164.371260 241.058529 373.842442 613.516700 1064.368265 2088.398520
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 105.530427 154.101937 230.220541 365.610829 618.575060 1116.036885 2318.114624
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 98.986975 146.808837 223.375961 363.258468 633.880410 1190.880604 2627.404982
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 90.560203 135.806541 209.370739 346.393127 618.320598 1197.263344 2766.032375
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 88.304879 134.664323 211.820260 359.870937 665.561831 1352.153438 3367.880426
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 86.607535 134.408896 215.941127 377.414261 725.393210 1554.454974 4221.269516
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 82.317585 129.415738 211.227459 377.149601 746.568601 1668.007882 4857.374580
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.901004 122.069668 201.605923 365.824442 740.637753 1709.249905 5262.394966
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.212029 115.686343 193.245893 356.173533 737.145521 1756.734256 5722.846224
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 70.528817 114.523691 194.535486 366.978416 785.105879 1965.496634 7000.157229
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 67.922310 111.499312 191.997303 369.168462 811.888072 2119.346646 8162.889618
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 64.535265 106.822011 185.873872 362.697617 815.016181 2199.239623 9029.220250
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 62.243071 104.030962 183.249574 363.857810 838.921555 2356.678067 10478.354353
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 59.166294 99.582241 176.978874 355.901456 836.277520 2421.033152 11444.868137
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.877747 96.502259 173.272647 353.627468 849.586333 2549.074987 12985.121931
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 53.381393 90.926408 164.084414 337.320207 819.391041 2503.012344 13248.970130